randahl ,
@randahl@mastodon.social avatar

Today I saw a number, which I will never forget.

During this war, Russia has launched 5628 Shahed-136 drones towards Ukraine.

That is 5628 times, civilians have heard a buzzing moped engine in the sky, and seen the Shahed-136 strike a civilian home, a power plant, or a school with its 50 kilogram warhead.

For comparison, Hitler struck London with 2857 V1 and V2 rockets — half as many.

I simply do not know what to tell future generations when they ask, why we did not stop the Russian terror.

Npars01 ,
@Npars01@mstdn.social avatar

@randahl

We didn't stop Putin because fossil fuel interests helped him evade sanctions & helped him finance his genocide.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/armstrong-russia-sanctions-ukraine-1.7198126

If we had started the phase out of fossil fuel two decades ago, Ukraine would still be sovereign nation within its borders.

Gaza would still exist.
https://www.counterpunch.org/2024/01/26/how-is-gaza-offshore-gas-development-tied-to-the-israeli-invasion/

The planet wouldn't be frying & a fossil fuel funded anti-democracy movement would not be thriving.
https://climateandcapitalism.com/2022/03/26/the-danger-of-fossil-fascism/
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2017/07/climate-change-earth-too-hot-for-humans.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/13/opinion/electricity-demand-surging.html

Npars01 ,
@Npars01@mstdn.social avatar
subpanel Bot , (edited )
@subpanel@mstdn.social avatar
InternetEh ,
@InternetEh@dads.cool avatar

@Npars01 @randahl Gaza does exist. I think it's important people not use phrasing like that. People are fighting for their lives and the fight is not over.

Npars01 ,
@Npars01@mstdn.social avatar

@InternetEh @randahl

Gaza has its people but is without food, fuel, hospitals, courts, schools, water distribution, and much of its housing has been bombed into rubble.

The proceeds from the Gaza Marine natural gas field should be spent to rebuild Gaza under a 2 state solution.

nitpicking ,
@nitpicking@mstdn.party avatar

Hey, namesake @randahl Is it worth mentioning that the German V1 and V2 weapons had 1/2 and 1 ton warheads, vs. the 50kg one of the Shaheed?

randahl OP ,
@randahl@mastodon.social avatar
nitpicking ,
@nitpicking@mstdn.party avatar

@randahl Fair. For whatever reason, I didn't see that one.

faerfyr ,
@faerfyr@social.tchncs.de avatar

@randahl and this is just a small subset of the total ordinance, from drones & missiles & bombs & shells that have all targeted Ukraine since the most recent invasion..

meltedcheese ,
@meltedcheese@c.im avatar

@randahl The reason is that Russia has a policy, predating Putin and regularly reauthorized, that if Russia is faced with defeat then they will escalate to first use of nuclear weapons. The definition of “defeat” gives them some wiggle room, but the threat is real. The military-political consensus seems to be that once tactical nukes are used then escalation to a broader nuclear exchange is inevitable. No country wants to get near that tripwire. Direct confrontation is avoided.

randahl OP ,
@randahl@mastodon.social avatar

@meltedcheese that is what Russia wants us to think. But I call that madman theory: They want us to believe, that Putin is some evil super villain who is ready to destroy the world. The only problem is, the Russians have children too, and just like us, they would like to see those children again.

NATO has 4223 nuclear weapons, and while Russia needs to strike every power center accross the entire democratic world to win, just one nuke on Moscow would change Russia for good.

meltedcheese ,
@meltedcheese@c.im avatar

@randahl In the severe stress of military confrontation, Russia and NATO US depend on soldiers following orders. It is sentimental, wishful thinking to assume they will not.

“[Russian] doctrine allows nuclear weapons use ‘in response to large-scale aggression utilizing conventional weapons in situations critical to the national security of the Russian Federation.’”

https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2000-05/russias-military-doctrine

meltedcheese ,
@meltedcheese@c.im avatar

@randahl Russia can easily nuke every NATO capitol city, even it Moscow and their cities get hit first. Nuclear war is no-win.

randahl OP ,
@randahl@mastodon.social avatar

@meltedcheese What benefit do you see in spreading nuclear fear on Mastodon? I personally believe that serves no one but Putin.

meltedcheese ,
@meltedcheese@c.im avatar

@randahl There is no need to spread nuclear fear on Mastodon. People here are not idiots, and only idiots are not afraid of nuclear war.

randahl OP ,
@randahl@mastodon.social avatar

@meltedcheese if only idiots are not afraid of nuclear war, does that mean, you think Putin is an idiot?

meltedcheese ,
@meltedcheese@c.im avatar

@randahl I think Putin is a psychopath.Sorry my assertion was not sufficiently inclusive.

randahl OP ,
@randahl@mastodon.social avatar

@meltedcheese Do we agree, that Putin does not have a red button in his office, but even in Russia there is a formalized process for going nuclear? A process which involves several people in the power structure, and a chain of command in the military, which involves multiple levels of people who need to carry out nuclear attack orders — all the way down to the personnel in the missile silo?

Because if that is the case, do we also agree that 1 psychopath does not in itself lead to nuclear war?

Eka_FOOF_A ,
@Eka_FOOF_A@spacey.space avatar

@randahl @meltedcheese
No, the war mongers in Russia will pull the trigger. They are crazy.

Dutchinvestor ,
@Dutchinvestor@mastodon.social avatar

@randahl I fully agree. In the future we will only be able to apologize for not doing enough.

stadsplanering ,
@stadsplanering@mastodon.nu avatar

@randahl Too little. Sadly!

We say we want Ukraine to win but it seems like we do not want them to win fast. We want them to win through attrition of the russian army? While russia levels what ever location of homes they can reach??

I do not understand why we are so afraid of russia?? Give Ukraine everything the ask for. Let them strike wherever the enemy is and not limit them to just Ukraine territory. This war could end within a year if we did that. Now it will last longer.

randahl OP ,
@randahl@mastodon.social avatar
Schnuckster ,
@Schnuckster@beige.party avatar

@randahl I think it might be because Putin is a fucking headcase who would cheerfully resort to nuclear warfare given any excuse at all. His pronouncements with Xi this week make this abundantly clear to me.

YakyuNightOwl ,
@YakyuNightOwl@mastodon.world avatar

@randahl Do the Russians and Iranians all get jobs in our space program now?

That's what happened to the Nazis with Operation Paperclip. Welfare for war criminals is no way to end a conflict, but you know how these things go.

Blanco ,
@Blanco@c.im avatar

@randahl Do not worry. Future generations are likely not to be here the way we are going.

Thebratdragon ,
@Thebratdragon@mastodon.scot avatar

@randahl if Putin is not stopped, what future generations will be told is that Russia only obliterated the Ukraine in self defence.

waffles ,
@waffles@mastodon.nl avatar

@randahl Ukraine has shot down maybe 80% of those, in large part with weapons supplied by the west. But your point remains fully valid, there is much more that could be done.

randahl OP ,
@randahl@mastodon.social avatar

@waffles yes, the Gepards and other weapons have been helpful.

randahl OP , (edited )
@randahl@mastodon.social avatar

Full disclosure: The damage caused by Shahed drones do not compare to the damage from V1 and V2 rockets, because of the bigger warheads on V1 and V2. What I am comparing here is just the terror effect of these attacks, which is enormous. And while we stopped Hitler, Putin continues these attacks.

Source for Shahed-136 numbers:
https://isis-online.org/isis-reports/detail/alabugas-greatly-expanded-production-rate-of-shahed-136-drones/

Source for V1 and V2 numbers:
https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/education/resources/british-response-v1-and-v2/#:~:text=V2%20rockets%20were%20first%20launched,and%20537%20eleven%20other%20counties.

ginkka ,
@ginkka@mastodon.social avatar

@randahl my father (1934, Arnhem) still refers to the sound of the V1 and V2 as "terrifying".

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