Just attending a 3-day workshop on the danger of abrupt ocean circulation changes.
Discussions are quite worrying. E.g. in 35 to 45 % of high quality models, convection in the open North Atlantic collapses in the 2030s due to #globalheating. -> Major climate disruption. Not good.
@rahmstorf There goes my old age pension. Sorry. I never thought I might still be alive when the collapse happens. This is all devastating. #globalheating
Key Findings of Oil Change International's "Big #Oil Reality Check" - Oil majors fail to align with international agreements to phase out #FossilFuels and to limit global temperature rise to 1.5ºC ... Combined, 8 ('oil majors') companies’ current oil and #gas extraction plans are consistent with more than 2.4°C of global temperature rise, likely leading to global devastation."
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Every company is “Grossly Insufficient” or “Insufficient” on a majority of criteria.
Three companies (Chevron, ConocoPhillips, and ExxonMobil) are “Grossly Insufficient” — our lowest rating — on all criteria.
These 8 companies alone are on track to use 30% of our remaining carbon budget to limit global temperature rise to 1.5°C.
Of the 8 analyzed companies, 6 have explicit goals to increase oil and gas production. Even those without such plans are advancing new #FossilFuel projects and selling polluting assets rather than shutting them down, masking their actions as contributing to an energy transition while perpetuating #climate pollution.
Integrity: None of the companies we analyzed have set comprehensive targets to ensure their total emissions decline rapidly and consistently, starting now. Every company intends to rely on carbon capture and storage (CCS), offsets, and/or other methods that delay and distract from ending fossil fuels, and prolong the health and community safety impacts of dirty energy.
People-Centered Transitions: All companies fail to meet basic criteria for just transition plans for workers and communities where they operate. All companies fail to meet basic criteria on upholding human rights."
"‘Magical thinking’: hopes for sustainable #jet#fuel not realistic, report finds - #IPS report says replacement fuels well off track to replace #kerosene within timeframe needed to avert #ClimateDisaster"
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“It’s a huge #greenwashing exercise by the #aviation industry. It’s magical thinking that they will be able to do this.”
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"Burning sustainable aviation fuels still emits some #carbon dioxide, while the land use changes needed to produce the fuels can also lead to increased #pollution. #Ethanol biofuel, made from #corn, is used in these fuels, and meeting the Biden administration’s production goal, the report found, would require 114m acres of corn in the #US, about a 20% increase in current land area given over to to the crop.
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This sustainable fuels target will require an enormous 18,887% increase in production, based on 2022 production levels, this decade, the new report found.
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In the #UK, meanwhile, 50% of all agricultural land will have to be given up to sustain current flight passenger levels if jet fuel was entirely replaced."
Hundreds of records North to South
TMIN 36.4 Yelimane MALI
47 CHAD
46.3 ALGERIA
MADNESS IN NAMIBIA/ZAMBIA
Records beaten by >5C >1000m asl
36.4 Ondagwa
35.2 Katima Mulilo
34.9 Rundu min 20.6
34.8 Omaruru
34.5 Gobabis min 21.6
34.7 Mongu
34.6 Sesheke
GHANA also keeps breaking records no stop since January.
Today hottest day in history in May at:
41.5 Tamale
40.4 Yendi
Insane 46.3 in ALGERIA in the beginning of May also unprecedented
It will get worse, with 47/48C in North Africa and 35/38C in this Southern Africa late autumn
Major bad #ClimateCrisis news just published in today's #Guardian - "Exclusive: Planet is headed for at least 2.5C of heating with disastrous results for #humanity poll of hundreds of scientists finds - World’s top #climate scientists expect #GlobalHeating to blast past 1.5C target.
Hundreds of the world’s leading climate scientists expect global temperatures to rise to at least 2.5C (4.5F) this century, blasting past internationally agreed targets and causing catastrophic consequences for humanity and the #planet, an exclusive Guardian survey has revealed.
Almost 80% of the respondents, all from the authoritative Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change ( #IPCC), foresee at least 2.5C of global heating above preindustrial levels, while almost half anticipate at least 3C (5.4F). Only 6% thought the internationally agreed 1.5C (2.7F) limit will be met."
Numerous experts said they had been left feeling hopeless, infuriated and scared by the failure of governments to act despite the clear scientific evidence provided.
“I think we are headed for major societal disruption within the next five years,” said Gretta Pecl, at the University of Tasmania. “[Authorities] will be overwhelmed by extreme event after extreme event, food production will be disrupted. I could not feel greater despair over the future.”
99% of climate scientists agree the climate is warming and humans, mainly due to the burning of fossil fuels, are the cause. BUT in the US, only 55% of people know that virtually all experts agree. Called the consensus gap, fueled by deliberate disinformation.
Some good news - "‘We don’t need air con’: how #BurkinaFaso builds #schools that stay cool in 40C #heat" - Architects use local materials and merge traditional techniques with modern technology to make schools and orphanages cool, welcoming places.
The Noomdo orphanage was another of his projects. “The Kéré building provides us with good thermal comfort because when it’s hot, we’re cool, and when it’s cold, we’re warm inside,” says Pierre Sanou, a social educator at the orphanage near the city of Koudougou in the Centre-Ouest (centre-west) region of Burkina Faso. “We don’t need air conditioning, which is an incredible energy saving,” says Sanou. Temperatures in this region of the world remain at about 40C (104F) during the hottest season.
“Kéré builds with local materials from our territory like laterite stone and uses very little concrete,” says Sanou. Kéré’s buildings in Burkina Faso are earthy. They start from the ground and take into account that concrete is a material that needs to be transported to the site, is much more expensive and generates waste. “They are permeable buildings that seek the movement of natural air and protection from the sun. For example, they are built with very strong walls and very light roofs so that the cool air that enters from below pushes the hot air out from above,” says Eduardo González, a member of the Architecture School of Madrid.
One particularly ingenious innovation is his use of the ancient idea of raised and extended metal roofs. The rooms of Noomdo are covered by a shallow barrel vault resting on a concrete beam but with openings. Above, a metal plate protects the roof from direct sunlight and rain. Additionally, it lets out the hot air. González says the technique can be found in the vernacular architecture of the Persian Gulf. In Burkina Faso, he says Kéré integrates it into his projects and “gives this technique a contemporary image”."
‘Astounding’ #ocean#temperatures in 2023 intensified #ExtremeWeather, data shows - Record levels of #heat were absorbed last year by Earth’s #seas, which have been #warming year-on-year for the past decade - The #oceans absorb 90% of the heat trapped by the #carbon#emissions from the burning of #FossilFuels, making it the clearest indicator of #GlobalHeating. Record levels of heat were taken up by the oceans in 2023, scientists said, and the data showed that for the past decade the oceans have been hotter every year than the year before."
Eunice Foote's research has been rediscovered only in the last decade. Based on published experiments, she suggested that increasing the amount of CO₂ in the atmosphere would increase Earth's temperature. https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsnr.2020.0031
In 1859, John Tyndall used a 'Radiant Heat Apparatus' (see photo) to measure the energy that was absorbed by gases http://pombo.free.fr/tyndall1861.pdf