Natasha_Jay , FocalData MRP analysis is worth a detailed read eg. ...
:ms_eyes: "The other potential source of error is our fieldwork dates. Interviewing people from the 3rd June - 20th we will miss the late political movement ... They (Conservatives) could face the prospect of going well below 100 seats, and towards 70 and face their own 1931 super-defeat.
Labour 450 seats
Conservatives 110Lib Dems 50
SNP 16
Plaid Cymru 2
Reform 1
Green 1
Other 19https://www.focaldata.com/blog/focaldata-prolific-uk-general-election-mrp