hrefna OP , 20 days ago @iinavpov But don't take my word for it. You could, as far as transparency goes, talk to any of the people who have found issues there in the past: https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/10/24/reverse-engineering-the-problematic-tail-behavior-of-the-fivethirtyeight-presidential-election-forecast/ https://www.wired.com/2012/11/nate-silver/
@iinavpov But don't take my word for it. You could, as far as transparency goes, talk to any of the people who have found issues there in the past:
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/10/24/reverse-engineering-the-problematic-tail-behavior-of-the-fivethirtyeight-presidential-election-forecast/
https://www.wired.com/2012/11/nate-silver/