BULLETIN
Hurricane Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 24A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jul 04 2024
...CENTER OF BERYL MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...STRONG WINDS, DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, AND DAMAGING WAVES EXPECTED ON THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO BY EARLY FRIDAY...
LOCATION...19.2N 83.4W
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM W OF GRAND CAYMAN
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM ESE OF TULUM MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.76 INCHES
Re: #HurricaneBeryl. Here's what I think is the most important thing to remember:
For literally months, the scientific community has been saying, "Look out everyone, the sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic are really hot. Hurricane season could be intense."
Then the monstrous Beryl comes along, the strongest every July Atlantic storm.
We're entering the FAFO phase of climate change and the FO part is going to get worse and worse.
Hurricane Beryl is the earliest Category 5 hurricane observed in the Atlantic basin on record. Why? We've made the oceans hot and the atmosphere more energetic.
Hurricane Beryl now has a maximum sustained wind of 140kt -- CATEGORY 5.
Per NHC:
" This is the earliest Category 5 hurricane observed in the Atlantic basin on record, and only the second Category 5 hurricane to occur in July after Hurricane Emily in 2005."
"The unusually warm waters of the Caribbean are a key factor in #Beryl’s rapid intensification. These warm waters are a direct consequence of global warming".
"Much of the southeast #Caribbean is on alert as Beryl strengthens into the first #hurricane of the 2024 Atlantic season, with forecasters warning of a “very dangerous” Category 3 storm."
"#HurricaneBeryl is now forecast to become an “extremely dangerous” Category 4 storm before it reaches the Windward Islands, bringing life-threatening winds and storm surge to the Caribbean."
"Hurricane Beryl is now a 120-mph Category 3 monster, a day after it was a tropical storm with 60-mph winds. The storm rapidly intensified at a rate unprecedented for June."
"Sam Lillo’s post on X tells you how explosive the intensification of Beryl has been. Lillo explains that Beryl intensified by 65 kt in 36 hours. He also goes on to say, “It took #Beryl 42 hours to go from a tropical depression to a major hurricane, on June 30th. This has been done 6 other times in Atlantic hurricane history. And the EARLIEST date this was achieved before was ... September 1. SEPTEMBER!” "
"4) While the science is still evolving, we are seeing storms now slowing down. Couple that with more rain and you get Harvey. Couple that with more wind and you get Dorian."
"#HurricaneBeryl strengthened to Category 5 status late Monday after it ripped doors, windows and roofs off homes across the southeastern Caribbean with devastating winds and storm surge fueled by the Atlantic’s record warmth.
It intensified further early Tuesday morning to 165 mph (270 kph) winds."
For a whole day after landfall, the news was all about where #HurricaneBeryl was going next. That meant communications were down in the places already hit, a bad sign.
"There are “hardly any buildings left standing” on Union Island."
"The hurricane’s eyewall skirted #Jamaica’s southern coast as a powerful category 4 storm, ripping off roofs, uprooting electric poles and trees and causing widespread flooding.
According to the most recent reports, many people in the country are without water, and on Wednesday night, officials said 60% of the population was without electricity."
Beryl is expected to hit Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula on Friday morning as a Cat 1 hurricane, then make landfall near the Texas/Mexico border late Sunday or early Monday.