Today I talked to someone who said, Trump would win in November.
I asked, "Do you agree, Biden won in 2020?"
— "Yes."
"Okay. What specifically has Trump done since 2020, which has improved his chances of winning?"
— "Well… not much."
"Right", I said. "Then look at what Biden has done for ordinary people: Cheaper medicine, more jobs, the economy back on track. Will that make Trump win?"
(Very long pause)
— "You may have a point."
It is all a feeling — two questions, and reality sets in.