Buffalox ,

A month more of this and it could already be 500k personnel lost for Russia. But I really hope Ukraine is able to keep casualties way way lower than that, they need to beat Russians at a ratio of 1:4 to match Russia, which is a gargantuan task. Last year it seemed like Ukraine was actually able to do this, and I really hope American weapons aid will help enable them to do it again.

On the Russian side, according to Anders Puk Nielsen, Russia is probably peaking just about now, with full military economy, and programs for mass repair and preparation of equipment from the Soviet times.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1W8tio3Ougw

But Russian industrial production capability is declining, and old equipment will run out eventually, so theoretically at least, time should be on the side of Ukraine. But of course it's horrible that Ukrainians have to go through this, especially since everybody tried to appease Russia to avoid it.

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