ukelections , to random
@ukelections@mastodonapp.uk avatar

MRP OPINION POLLING ANALYSIS

There have been multiple constituency opinion polls this election and multiple MRP polls. To try to tell which MRP's are more accurate, I've compared the constituency opinion poll results with the equivalent MRP seat projections, and the results are very interesting.

Thread below, but the TLDR version is that the and MRPs seem to be the closest match to the constituency polling we've seen.

ukelections , to random
@ukelections@mastodonapp.uk avatar

GB OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention. Poll by :

🔴 Labour: 47% (+3)
🔵 Conservatives: 24% (=)
⚪ Reform UK: 10% (-3)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (+1)
🟢 Greens: 6% (=)
🟡 SNP: 2% (=)

Labour lead of 23 points.

Conducted 9-10 May 2024. Changes with 2-3 May 2024.

Full details: https://mastodon.social/@Omnisis/112444519506383429

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