modeler ,

Elon sounds like he's experienced, skilled and is approaching things from a theoretical or ethical or other grand point of view. He used to impress me with his approach on building an electric car company with full self-driving vehicles in the 2010's. I wasn't a full believer, but I thought he was competent and wanted Tesla to succeed.

Then he went and bought Twitter. As a software engineer all my life, and in the startup scene, and having worked in a failed social media platform, I have some experience. Everything he's said about Twitter is crap and everything he's done is stupid. And the results speak for themselves.

I've seen people say that Elon sounds great about things they don't know too much about. But when the topic comes to things they do understand, Elon clearly is wrong.

He started his career with hundreds of millions of dollars, and he bet it all on a couple of businesses be bought (he was never a founder, always a purchaser).

Basically he's been lucky twice (Paypal and Tesla), but each of these won 10-100x on his initial stake.

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