Nate Silver's model for the 2024 election is out, currently predicts a 65% chance of a Trump victory. ( www.natesilver.net )
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However, the reporting often treats protests on elite college campuses, or social media posts from articulate activists, as though they’re a proxy for the youth vote overall. Young voters do differ from older ones on some issues, including Israel-Palestine and free speech. But they do not care about these issues nearly as much...