eleitl

@eleitl@lemmy.ml

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eleitl OP Mod ,

My pleasure. Obviously a community discussing collapse can't stay in a place which denies overshoot of the ecosystem carrying capacity. The Reese paper doesn't say a thing about eugenics.

eleitl OP Mod ,

Admin Removed Post Overshoot: Cognitive obsolescence and the population conundrum [PDF]
reason: promotes eugenics

which also got me a 3-day site wide ban for "promoting eugenics" which is no longer showing up since expired.

In general admins can of course remove users and communities for reasonable reasons, but editor decisions on communitity content (even those I don't feel strong about) are strange.

eleitl OP Mod ,

Thank you for confirming the core point of the paper.

eleitl OP Mod , (edited )

We are not making anyone move. I and the rest of the mods but wabooti who is MIA for 8 months have already left.
It's a courtesy notice to the community. Whether wabooti will continue is up to him. I will just stay here long enough for the discussion, if any.

You can of course make your own collapse community (with blackjack and hookers) but perhaps pick an instance where the admins are not overshoot deniers. It seems though you don't quite understand the significance of that "slap on the wrist".

eleitl OP Mod ,

I don't believe that we've very significantly overshot our global ecosystem carrying capacity. Especially post-fossil. It's a fact outlined in many numbers in thousands of peer reviewed publications.

As to what we could collectively do: sadly, very little. The overall system has almost no degrees of freedom left. You're mostly down to personal and community scale choices. Small things.

Not going to continue to discuss that here though.

eleitl OP Mod ,

Strange. It works for me. Can anyone else reproduce the error?

eleitl OP Mod ,

I'm fine with the revolution, but it does very little when dealing with preventing the collapse from the overshoot of the carrying capacity of the global ecosystem. Read the fine paper, your attitude is in line with what it describes.

eleitl OP Mod ,

Have you stopped beating your wife yet?

eleitl OP Mod ,

We are not going to abandon fossil fuels. However, fossil fuels are abandoning us. And those 8.1 billion and counting will be going away, too.

eleitl ,

Too bad we're already over 1.5 C though it will take a decade for it to be official.

eleitl ,

Globally, you probably are. It doesn't take that much to qualify. There is a website to check via income.

Does a VPN used on a smartphone with Wi-Fi disabled (mobile data only enabled) provide any sort of protection?

I've never completely understood this, but I think the answer would probably be "no," although I'm not sure. Usually when I leave the house I turn off wifi and just use mobile data (this is a habit from my pre-VPN days), although I guess I should probably just keep it on since using strange Wi-Fi with a VPN is ok (unless someone...

eleitl ,

You forget that nation-states control your ISP. And of course you can choose your VPN provider or run your own.

The Collapse Is Coming. Will Humanity Adapt? (interview with Peter Watts) ( thereader.mitpress.mit.edu )

The interview discusses the potential for civilizational collapse due to climate change and other environmental issues. Watts points out that the solution lies not in technological fixes, but in a fundamental change in human behavior. He argues that the current trajectory of maximizing short-term gains is unsustainable and that...

eleitl ,

Nobody is using MMF these days even for local runs. As to sfp, check https://fs.com and pick a matching pair that is cheapest. These days it makes sense to use 10G or 25G rather than 1G. Some people run 100G for their homelab, but even used it's pricy and noisy.

eleitl OP Mod ,

Notice you have to cool both in the power plant and the DC. And these DCs run up to a GW or more.

eleitl OP Mod ,

IBM does 60 deg C watercooling which can be not a lot of thermal delta in nonarctic environments. It's a lot of km of infrastructure to vent directly if you want to dissipate a nuclear reactor's worth of power in a single site.

eleitl ,

There are diminishing returns in semiconductor photolitho. Moore scaling is long over, absolute real estate see WSI with Cerebras, DC costs and power envelope are all sending a clear message. Quantization is there, so you can go from digital multipliers to analog and go spiking networks, but transformers and Co have little power there.

Also, the kind of economy that can carry Gen AI as business model is not a given, long term.

eleitl ,

Yes orders of magnitude, but not too many of them. The real estate of a 300 mm wafer is limited, the structure shrink is saturating and you can't get too many layers. You still need a packet switched network on the wafer even if the rest is mostly analog. Perhaps spintronics can limit the power requirements too.

eleitl ,

A free running cellular automaton (CA) approach in hardware would work, but each cell would be a much souped up SRAM cell, the interactions would be all local and 2D. Considering Cerebras is 40 G SRAM on the 300 mm WSI and is about at the cooling limit I'm afraid you do not have 5 orders of magnitude. Perhaps reversible spintronics can help with the power draw, but you still have to splat a higher dimensional network so not just local interactions into a 2D array.

eleitl ,

Sadly, you can't download the hardware to run models that size.

eleitl ,

Factor in power bills and heat and noise into your calculations.

eleitl ,

I would look into thin clients and Lenovo etc. tiny PC for office on eBay. I run old low power low noise rackmount Supermicros which are nice but hard to find at low prices.

eleitl ,

And these power lines into the EU are very easy to disrupt and disrupt again after repairs.

eleitl Mod ,

Global Financial Crisis 2 is definitely a fast component in the overall collapse process. Unaccounted consumer debt is a useful facet of a diagnostic. We don't know where exactly the spark will originate that will blow up GFC2. It could as well start there, though it's not very probable.

eleitl OP Mod ,

I think we are already at the catabolic collapse stage where the elites are cannibalizing the periphery before the heartland. On the other hand the US has been also being stripped bare in patches for a while. So it is a simultaneous progressive process.

eleitl OP Mod ,

Nicely put. I fully agree with this description.

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