@Hegar@kbin.social avatar

Hegar

@Hegar@kbin.social

Mostly kind chonky weirdo. Gentle nerd freak of the pacific north west. All nation states are vermin.

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Hegar ,
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That's just completely not true though.

Hegar ,
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We don't have any evidence of finding out yet.

He's unlikely to get jail time, unlikely to pay any fines he receives and may still ride gerrymandering to finally Noeming the last sickly vestiges of US democracy.

I'm very happy with the verdict though.

Hegar ,
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Nothing but his own internal monologue and no interaction with the rest of the world? That's basically a campaign rally for him. He'd love it.

Hegar ,
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take as many free shots as he wanted at the heavily restrained and completely innocent man, a perk the military provided to each new recruit. “Now, I’m not entirely sure what this gentleman’s whole deal is. Looks like he could be from the Middle East.

Brutal.

Hegar ,
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In parliamentry systems you can dissolve parliament, requiring an election. It's usually a way to bypass deadlock. Imagine if, when republicans are fucking around with the debt ceiling and pissing off the country, you could threaten to call a snap election and let them answer to voters then and there.

So if this passes it would basically force a national referendum on netanyahu's leadership.

If gantz is pushing this, probably he thinks he can win. That could mean netanyahu's many financial and political crimes being looked into again. Maybe.

It could mean more of a focus on getting hostages back, but it might not lead to much change in gaza:

Gantz’ centrism is not equivalent to Western centrism: Natenyahu’s Likud party and other Israeli nationalists have “gone so right-wing that the center in Israel has changed,” a Middle East Institute think tank fellow told Al Jazeera. Previously serving as Commander-in-Chief of the Israeli Defense Forces, Gantz has overseen two military offensives in Gaza and labeled several Palestinian NGOs terrorist organizations, indicating it is “unlikely” he would improve the conditions for Palestinians living in Gaza

Hegar ,
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Yeah but presumably the parent in the M1 has a spouse operating a surveillance drone to provide real time fire child correction?

Hegar ,
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Thank you this kind of comment is why I come here.

Hegar ,
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I agree that dems have cause for concern broadly, but I'm not sure that a 10% drop during an uncontested incumbent primary translates to a "10% drop in reliable D’s electoral engagement".

Hegar ,
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The popular vote matters, proof that we're not a democracy matters. Not a lot, probably not at all but maybe in the future it might form part of an argument for making things better.

Given the stakes I'm still going to put in the small effort for a likely doomed longshot. That's about the most we can hope to achieve with electoral politics, but I still think it's worth doing.

State Department official resigns after Biden administration says Israel not blocking Gaza aid ( www.middleeasteye.net )

A career State Department official resigned from her post on Tuesday, saying she could no longer work for the Biden administration after it released a report concluding that Israel was not preventing the flow of aid to Gaza....

Hegar ,
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When the genocide is this obvious, and the ongoing consequences for the democrats and democracy this serious, it really makes me wonder what's the political calculus behind it.

Is AIPAC really that big of a threat? Is netanyahu that important to our imperial interests in the middle east? Why choose full on putinesque post-truth politics over this?

I've never had much faith in the democrats, but I honestly just don't understand what's driving such terrible decision making.

Hegar ,
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States just aren't moral entities - there's no reasonable moral ground for most anything an imperial power does. It's almost always just about securing more power.

But I don't understand how this makes sense for the democrats from even a realpolitik perspective.

Hegar ,
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I didn't downvote. I don't see you having any down votes. I don't disagree with you, I just don't feel that your comment addressed the specific point I was making.

I don't disagree that states are devoid of any ethical capabilities, but they're not cartoon supervillains. When states are cruel, it's for specific reasons to achieve specific aims.

I don't understand what the democrats think they are getting or avoiding with this. To me it looks lose/lose for them.

Hegar ,
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I personally don't think that fear of assassination is what's driving biden and the democrats policy on this.

Given that netanyahu and gvir were almost certainly involved in killing yitzhak rabin I'm sure they're capable, I just think the risk/reward is off. They can affect US policy without the risks inherent in killing an allied head of state.

Hegar ,
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I've seen a number of polls that reiterate how strongly youth and democrats oppose israel's actions and call it genocide. I don't think it's an echo chamber effect.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/642695/majority-disapprove-israeli-action-gaza.aspx

This poll from March shows 55/36 disapprove/approve.

Moreover, democrats disapprove at 75% vs 18% approve and independents disapprove at 60% to 29% approve. Sure, republicans approve at 64%, but ain't no republicans switching to biden over gaza.

Those numbers are brutal for democrats, and getting worse. More obvious genocide from the israelis and feeble lies from biden isn't going to reverse that trend.

Hegar ,
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A fair point.

Hegar ,
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That's just not true though.

Hegar ,
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I've seen 2 memes complaining about this and no examples of it. I'm perfectly willing to believe that it has happened - if there's a crazy thought, someone will spout it online.

But it doesn't seem either widespread or representative of the actual beliefs of real humans in the world.

Hegar ,
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So if it's just a tankie thing why are you accusing broader leftists of it?

Hegar ,
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Yeah, I'm guessing it was that, which won an IgNobel prize like a decade ago.

If you've ever worked in a call center, this kind of thing happens from time to time. After a couple times you learn to ignore it and push through.

Hegar ,
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35000+ tragic mistakes and counting.

Hegar ,
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Crowdfunding campaigns like this are a great way for white communities to avoid the consequences of laws that were mostly designed to emiserate non-white americans.

Hegar ,
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Why do you make this a white vs not white issue?

Because that's what the intention is.

Republicans (post civil rights, Dixiecrats before that) specifically target non-white communities with laws designed to hurt them. They can't be as explicit about it as they once were, so they have to find proxy targets. Instead of just jailing blacks, we'll over-enforce drug laws in certain communities. Instead of saying we're trying to starve black families, we'll use 'welfare mothers' as a proxy. The goal is still the same as it was for all of US history - to win votes from whites by promising to take from non-whites. School vouchers. Stop and frisk. Zero tolerance approaches. Gang enforcement units.

But using proxies instead of specifically targeting leads to some collateral emiseration. Luckily, white communities have vastly more intergenerational and communal wealth, so those crafting the laws know that white communities will be more resilient to the kind of damage they intend to inflict.

not a problem with whites, it's a problem with the rich.

Crowdfunding success is heavily racialized. It strongly favours people with more wealth in their extended community or identity group. Poverty is incredibly racialized in the US, especially at the communal rather than individual level.

I certainly agree that rich people enjoy watching all the poors suffer, but here in the US there's still a large demographic beyond just the rich that feel safer when black and brown people are disproportionately targeted for misery.

Hegar ,
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You see your hardships, can't look past the color of your skin, and project.

I don't see how my 'hardships' as a middle class white australian-american who moved to the US come into it. I'm describing how I observe the US to work.

Yes, rich people are more likely to crowdfund their rich friends.

White people are just more likely to be successful in their crowdfunding, even when poor.

I'm not arguing that there are no poor white people, that's silly. My wife's dad's grew up shoeless and white in rural illinois. The existence of poor white people doesn't disprove the fact non white people are a greater target for deliberate impoverishment.

I'm not deaf to class-based analysis. But this is the US. You just can't talk about class without also talking about how racialized poverty is in most of the country. Crowdfunding is one of the many facits of our society that very clearly reflects that.

Hegar ,
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throwing muck

You seem to feel like you're being attacked by a description of how some people suffer. It doesn't imply that others don't.

Hegar ,
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The first two claims are not really supportable:

Human beings are the only living things that are truly aware of their own mortality and spend time pondering the meaning of life and death.[24] Awareness of human mortality arose some 150,000 years ago.[25]

The claim that only humans are aware of mortality is from an article about COVID and death anxiety by 3 psychologists, no primatologists, paleontologist or animal behavior specialist. Recently published elephant burials and long documented chimp and corvid mourning behavior could undermine this claim. Although an emotional reaction to death may not imply awareness of one's own death.

The second claim that mortality awareness is only 150,000 years old is sourced to a 25 year old psychology paper. Our understanding of the human past has radically transformed since then. Sima de los Huesos may show mortuary practice from 400,000+ years ago, Dinaledi chamber may show non-sapiens mortuary practice from 200,000+. And if erectus (2M - 100k y/a) had fire, boats and language or proto-language well mortality awareness doesn't seem out of the question.

There's no good reason to think we know when awareness of death arose.

Hegar ,
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That's not true at all though. Plenty of lefties talk about the left. Like all the time.

Is there a trolling angle I'm missing or something?

Hegar ,
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Curl up in a ball and weep a salty creek.

Hegar ,
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Reading beyond the headline, I kind of agree that she faced a sexist double standard where she suffered electorally for things that wouldn't have impacted a male candidate as strongly.

Being a slimy, self-entitled political creature is pretty acceptable for a male politician.

Then again she did win the election by 2 percentage points. So as much as I dislike her, it's probably more of a structural issue than either sexism or candidate quality.

Hegar ,
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Possibly timing played a role, sure. But both those candidates are men, so it could just be more proof of her point.

Hegar ,
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That would be the structural issue. The candidate who won the election by a light but comfortable margin (48 v 46) didn't win power.

Hegar ,
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Bauxite is the obvious one. Bringing bauxite to Australia. How could you forget about bauxite?

Hegar ,
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In case anyone was curious about what sort of politician has a daughter who's a full time missionary, yes he is exactly the cruel and corrupt grifter you'd expect, and a notably half assed one.

He introduced a bill to "regulate sexual content" in libraries, which he claimed was inspired by drag story hour, however drag story hours were not addressed in the bill.

He sponsored a bill to let parents sue schools if they don't like what their children are learning.

He's tried to pre-emptively block ranked-choice voting and forcibly de-transition adult prisoners as part of the "Missouri Child and Adolescent Protection Act."

My favourite is that he tried to pre-emptively block cities from banning pet store animals, at the request of Petland and others, after Petland was linked to bacterial infection outbreaks, puppy-mills and some fairly obvious cruelty. "He further acknowledged that he had not researched existing Missouri law on the matter." (per wikipedia)

If you're cruel or rich, Ben Baker's got your back.

Hegar ,
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He's a weak candidate because he's a tepid aged rich guy who only loosely reflects what his base wants and is incapable of delivering the level of change the historic moment requires.

He's uninspiring. The US desperately needs large scale institutional change. With how broken those institutions are, that's going to require a groundswell of public support, something that can only be done by an inspiring reform candidate, not an establishment figure.

I'm still voting for him, but I'm (eternally) disappointed in the short sighted cowardice of the democratic party.

Greater Idaho movement: 13 counties in eastern Oregon have voted to secede and join Idaho ( ktvz.com )

On Tuesday, voters in Crook County passed measure 7-86, which asked voters if they support negotiations to move the Oregon/Idaho border to include Crook County in Idaho.  The measure is passing with 53% of the vote, and makes Crook County the 13th county in eastern Oregon to pass a Greater Idaho measure.

Hegar ,
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They'll swallow a 6% sales tax in exchange for joining the white ethnostate of their dreams idaho.

Hegar ,
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I don't know that 'one of the main reasons' is fair. For profit prisons are vile cruelty-factories and have pull with lawmakers, but they hold less than 10% of incarcerated individuals. It's a reason, sure. But a main reason?

I think there are two obviously larger reasons:

  1. There are more homeless people and homeowners see them. If you're a local politician, you can get very far by promising voters that they won't have to see homeless people. Here in "oregon, tolerant oregon" (to quote jello biafra) this is the most common sentiment to hear, and is reflected in policy.
  2. Growing resource pressure leads to a rise in 'punching down'. As climate crisis, imperial turmoil and the rich taking ever more resources fuel poverty and scarcity, the social pressure to distinguish yourself from those further down the social ladder increases. Hating the weak identifies you as strong, which grows in value as more and more insecurity plagues our society.
Hegar ,
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I generally recoil from comparing biden to putin but this really requires russian levels of post-truth politics.

Israel is committing war crimes like trump commits all his crimes - openly, in public and shielded by US elites.

Hegar ,
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on the way out.

This is overly optimistic. We humans are so resilient. We have every resource that's left at our disposal.

Even if there's full scale environmental collapse, we'll survive, rebuild, and be around to do it all over again.

Hegar ,
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Yep, once cyanobacteria flooded the world with oxygen, everything that couldn't hack it in an oxygen rich atmosphere died off never to return, and cyanobacteria and the chloroplast is still here, defining our world.

As bad as we fuck things up, we're better placed than many organisms to weather the consequences of our actions. Our numbers and harm done might go down for a while but like waves of the plague, we'll adapt to upset the new equilibrium in time.

Biden is dramatically out of touch with voters on Gaza. He may lose because of it ( www.theguardian.com )

On the issue of Gaza, Biden is dramatically out of touch with the voters he needs to win re-election. If he will not be moved by morality to stop his support of this war, he should be moved by vulgar self-interest. Gaza is not a distant foreign conflict: it is an urgent moral emergency for large swaths of voters. Biden will lose...

Hegar ,
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Anyone not voting for Biden because of Gaza is a fucking idiot.

The democracts insist on maintaining this position despite the mountain of evidence that it's driving down turn out in their base, and does not represent the wishes of the electorate.

Why is it that voters have to swallow genocide, and not that democrats have to stop perpetuating electorally unpopular genocide?

Of course trump will be worse and i'll be holding my nose and voting for biden but it makes no sense to blame voters for the inevitable and foreseeable consequences of the imperial cowardice of the democratic party.

Hegar ,
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Being angry at voters and calling them idiots over choices the democratic party made doesn't help defeat trump.

Hegar ,
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People who don't realize that both liberals and zionists have a lot of imperialism to be ashamed of remind me of the US education system.

Hegar ,
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Not really. Connections and social status will always have benefits.

Hegar ,
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Yep, agreed.

Hegar ,
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Glad to be of service.

Hegar ,
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Suitably brutal and chilling version!

Hegar ,
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I've got some bad news for you about the history of those cliches.

Hegar ,
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There was a recent case in NC where a 12 y/o was found dead with his underpants off and the camp obstructed the investigation and continues to maintain the death was accidental even after a coroner ruled it was not. It's the second death at that camp as well, previous one was in 2014.

https://www.wfae.org/crime-justice/2024-02-16/nc-regulators-shut-down-trails-carolina-camp-after-12-year-old-boy-dies

Hegar ,
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'White' is a made up category that changes its meaning in different countries and contexts. All identities are arbitrary. If you derive social or material benefit from a fascist identity, you might decide it's worth it to be a fascist.

It's not uncommon for people who might be read as a marginalized identity to adopt an identity that hedges against being part of that marginalized identity - gay republicans, poor billionaire-stans, anti-immigration migrants, etc.

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